Country snapshot · West Africa

Guinea

Export rules: None foundData as of 10 October 2026
92.3MW
Solar added in 2026 (Ember estimate, all segments)1N2,N3
+10%
Change on 20251
2025: 84.3 MW (Ember estimate)
53.8%
Access to electricity, 20242N4
6.82million
People without electricity, 2024 (DERCA calculation)2N4

Solar added each year

Ember estimates of all solar (utility-scale, distributed and off-grid), MW. 2026 is Ember’s full-year estimate.

Guinea: solar added per year, 2023–2026, MW (Ember estimates)2023: 12.8 MW; 2024: 37.5 MW; 2025: 84.3 MW; 2026 estimate: 92.3 MW12.8202337.5202484.3202592.32026E
Guinea: solar added per year, 2023–2026, MW (Ember estimates)2023: 12.8 MW; 2024: 37.5 MW; 2025: 84.3 MW; 2026 estimate: 92.3 MW12.8202337.5202484.3202592.32026E
View as tableHide table
Solar added per year, MW
YearMWBasis
202312.8Ember estimate
202437.5Ember estimate
202584.3Ember estimate
2026E92.3Ember estimate, full year

0.5% of Africa’s estimated 2026 solar additions (92.3 of 17,449.4 MW).1

Who has electricity

Share of people with access to electricity, 2024: rural and urban.

Guinea: access to electricity, rural vs urban, 2024Rural 29.4%, urban 93.6%, national 53.8%.National 53.8%Rural 29.4%Urban 93.6%0%25%50%75%100%
Guinea: access to electricity, rural vs urban, 2024Rural 29.4%, urban 93.6%, national 53.8%.National 53.8%Rural 29.4%Urban 93.6%0%50%100%
View as tableHide table
Access to electricity, 2024
AreaAccessYear
Rural29.4%2024
Urban93.6%2024
National53.8%2024
Rural 29.4%Urban 93.6%Without electricity 6.82m (DERCA calculation)

World Bank WDI, 2024.2

How reliable is the grid for business?

Firms experiencing electrical outages (2025 survey), compared with Sub-Saharan Africa and the world.3,4N5

Guinea: share of firms experiencing electrical outagesGuinea 91.1% (2025 survey); Sub-Saharan Africa 72.4%; World 47.5% (2025).Guinea (2025)91.1%Sub-Saharan Africa72.4%World47.5%
Guinea: share of firms experiencing electrical outagesGuinea 91.1% (2025 survey); Sub-Saharan Africa 72.4%; World 47.5% (2025).Guinea (2025)91.1%Sub-SaharanAfrica72.4%World47.5%

91.1% (2025 survey) · Sub-Saharan Africa 72.4% · World 47.5% (2025)

The rules for small-scale generationN1,N6

Export rules: None found

Regulator
ARSEE (named AREE in the Mission 300 compact)
Main utility
EDG (single buyer)
Export rulesNone found5,6Medium confidenceShow detail

None found

Sources: 5, 6
How exports are creditedNone foundShow detail

None found

Size limits and licensingNone foundShow detail

None found

Mini-grid rulesRural electrification law (2013); compact targets a mini-grid approval process.5,6Medium confidenceShow detail

Loi 061 (2013) on rural electrification sub-sector; ERI says mini-grid law passed but model contracts/technical codes missing; compact targets mini-grid approval process Q1 2026

Sources: 5, 6
Market access beyond the utilityGeneration open to private operators since 1993; transmission and distribution under EDG monopoly outside rural-electrification (AGER) areas; compact calls for third-party access.5,6Medium confidenceShow detail

1993 law opened generation to private operators; T&D under EDG monopoly outside AGER areas; compact calls for third-party access

Sources: 5, 6
Aggregation / VPP rulesNone foundShow detail

None found

“None found” means we could not locate a rule in public sources reviewed to 10 October 2026, not that one cannot exist.

Recent developments

Dated developments, 2024–2026.

  1. 2025

    Mission 300 compact commits to keep the tax exemption on renewable equipment for rural electrification (2023 joint decree).5,6

The full report

This is a snapshot. The full story is in Africa’s Invisible Grid.

The full analysis, with 17 exhibits on the boom, the data gap, the economics and the four building blocks, is in Africa’s Invisible Grid.

Get the full report

Africa’s Invisible Grid (PDF, 30 pages). Enter your details and we’ll email you a link to the report.